MOPACT household forecasts

This section contains results of stochastic household forecasts for five countries in Europe: Denmark, Finland, Germany, the Netherlands, and Norway. The forecasts were computed as part of work package 2 ‘Economic consequences of ageing’ of the MOPACT project.

The MOPACT project aims to provide the research and practical evidence upon which Europe can begin to make longevity an asset for social and economic development. This four-year project, which started in 2013, was funded by the European Commission under the Seventh Framework Programme.

We analysed future household dynamics in selected countries in Europe. The future developments of household structures are proven to be highly uncertain within the relevant time horizon for public policy and the private provisions for old age. Probabilistic household and population projections provide quantitative guidance for the uncertainty involved and allow making probabilistic quantitative assessments of the social and economic outcomes.

This section gives new probabilistic household forecasts to 2041 for

• Germany

• Netherlands

• Norway

• Finland

• Denmark

Access our full report (PDF, 977KB)

Nico Keilman
Department of Economics, University of Oslo and ESOP